Just another wild and wacky weekend in the NFL.
- Two shutouts.
- Two overtime games.
- 59 point victory.
- Raiders and Bills win.
- Giants and Eagles lose.
All in all I fell apart going 5-8 thus far and still have a game to go tonight to hopefully bring my overall record even at 45-45. Yikes!
Asterisk (*) denotes Best Bets
NY Giants (5-0) @ New Orleans (4-0) -3.5
The Saints are at home coming off a BYE and Drew Brees is due for a huge game but the Giants are as solid across the board as anybody and nobody should be favored by more that a field goal against them, which actually scares me since the Saints are favored by this much. I’m biting and taking the Giants in a shootout.
Giants 34-31
SAINTS 48-27
The Saints put up 34 points by halftime on the #1 rated overall defense and #1 against the pass in the NFL, make that formerly #1 ranked defense. This Saints offense is sick. The Giants are still an elite team but it’s just scary that the Saints could do this to them.
*St. Louis (0-5) @ Jacksonville (2-3) -9.5
Marc Bulger should help the Rams offense but then again so could Ryan Leaf. The Jags are coming off a 41-0 drubbing in Seattle so getting the Rams at home should be the perfect way to get over it. I think MJD, David Garrard and Mike Sims-Walker come to life and get pull to .500.
Jaguars 24-13
JAGUARS 23-20 OT
The Rams are a much better team with a healthy Marc Bulger at quarterback but they still have a long way to go. The Jags bounced back from a 41-0 drubbing in Seattle last week but still can’t feel great having been taken to overtime by the bottom feeding Rams.
Houston (2-3) @ Cincinnati (4-1) -4.5
The Texans are very good offensively but they can’t stop anybody. The Bengals are pretty good defensively but their offense isn’t nearly as good as people think. I think the Texans can score with Cinci.
Bengals 27-23
TEXANS 28-17
Just when you think the Bengals are for real they lay an egg on their home turf to an underachieving opponent. At 3-3 the Texans can score with anybody and if their defense plays like this they very well make a playoff push.
Cleveland (1-4) @ Pittsburgh (3-2) -14.5
It’s hard for me to imagine the Browns stopping the Steelers and it’s even harder to imagine them scoring with the return of Troy Polamolu. I see 5 Brown turnovers. That said the Steelers don’t cover and have given up late scores so I sense a back door Browns cover.
Steelers 30-17
STEELERS 27-14
The Steelers did what they do and the Browns played hard but they were just out classed. A big day for the Steelers with both division threats, Baltimore and Cincinnati, losing.
Carolina (1-3) @ Tampa Bay (0-5) +3.5
Both of these teams are terrible, they really are. That said I think the Bucs QB Josh Johnson or whatever his name is might actually be pretty decent and they are a home dog and I think they can keep it to a field goal.
Panthers 16-13
PANTHERS 28-21
Carolina finally found success on the ground with DeAngelo Williams rushing for 150 yards and running mate Jonathan Stewart adding 117 of his own. Jake Delhomme continues to struggle keeping the Bucs in the game with a gift pick 6 late.
Baltimore (3-2) @ Minnesota (5-0) -2.5
In the battle of two of the more over rated teams in the league, although they are both still very good, there are obvious chinks in their armor. The Ravens pass defense is suspect and Brett Favre will look to take advantage of it. It is hard to imagine the Ravens losing 3 in a row but they’re about to.
Vikings 23-20
VIKINGS 33-31
Brett Favre played excellent again and probably deserves the credit for yet another Vikings win. The Ravens offense came to life but their defense uncharacteristically couldn’t seem to stop the Vikings offense. Both playoff bound certainties.
Detroit (1-4) @ Green Bay (2-2) -13.5
The Lions are no longer the laughing stock of the league and there are at least 8 teams worse than them. I think Green Bay is vastly over rated and expect the Lions to stay within striking distance throughout. They can score and this line is too high.
Packers 27-20
PACKERS 26-20
The Lions posed little threat as Aaron Rodgers put two quick touchdowns on the board and never looked back.
*Kansas City (0-5) @ Washington (2-3) -6.5
How the hell are the Redskins a 6.5 point favorite against anybody!?
Chiefs 23-13
CHIEFS 14-6
The Redskins are quickly becoming one of the worst teams in the league. Get this: they have yet to face an opponent with a win under the belt… until of course they hand them one by losing to the otherwise winless opponent. Jim Zorn will be unemployed very soon.
*Philadelphia (3-1) @ Oakland (1-4) +13.5
Next…
Eagles 38-6
RAIDERS 13-9
In the shocker of the weekend the Eagles inexplicably allowed the Raiders to embarrass them while holding them to 9 points. The Eagles are clearly better than the Raiders still but it just goes to show you “that’s why they play the game”.
Arizona (2-2) @ Seattle (2-3) -2.5
Seattle is good at home and the Cardinals are bad on the road. There are major injury concerns with the entire Seahawks o-line but they do get Matt Hasselback back and the Cardinals defense will give up points. The Seahawks torched the Jaguars last week 41-0.
Seattle 28-23
CARDINALS 27-3
The one game I wish I would have listened to my own thoughts instead of being persuaded to go the other way. I liked Arizona because they can score and the Seahawks are a mash unit with injuries all over their offensive line and quarterback Matt Hasselback yet I still picked them like a dummy. The Cardinals did what they do and Seattle is back to reality after their 41-0 rout of Jacksonville last week.
Tennessee (0-5) @ New England (3-2) -9.5
One of these weeks the Patriots are going to explode offensively and the Titans season is over and they seem to have lost their will. I think Tom Brady and Randy Moss light it up against the weak Titans secondary.
Patriots 34-13
PATRIOTS 59-0
Wow. Tom Brady was 29-34 for 380 yards and 6 touchdowns until he was pulled after only one drive in the 2nd half. Shame on the Titans for quitting and good for the Patriots for making them pay for it. The rest of the league better take notice becuase it looks like the Patriots are finding their groove.
Buffalo (1-4) @ NY Jets (3-2) -9.5
The Jets return home after a tough loss in Miami and look to destroy a Buffalo team that is in shambles. Buffalo only managed to score two field goals against the lowly Browns. The Jets blitz will devour them and score at least once.
Jets 27-0
BILLS 16-13 OT
Mark Sanchez is learning that life isn’t always as easy as it once appeared falling to the struggling Bills while throwing 5 interceptions. The reeling Jets blitzing scheme has failed them 2 weeks in a row after falling in Miami last week. The Bills confused Sanchez and the cold and windy weather obviously affected some of his throws.
Chicago (3-1) @ Atlanta (3-1) -3.5
I do not believe in Jay Cutler one bit. I don’t understand why he is deemed a star. I expect at least two interceptions against a very good Falcons defense and the Bears without Brian Urlacher will not stop a very explosive Falcons offense led by Matt Ryan.
Falcons 30-24
FALCONS 21-14
The Bears drop another game behind the Vikings in the standings to a young and talented Falcons team that improves to 4-1. A hard fought grudge match between two physical teams that was won by the Falcons defense holding off Jay Cutler and the Bears in the closing seconds.
Monday, October 19
Denver (5-0) @ San Diego (2-2) -3.5
Maybe the Broncos really are this good but I still refuse to believe it. They’ve burned me all year long but I’m bound to get one right eventually. The Chargers will be ready and need this game at home to avoid falling three games back in the division.
Chargers 31-27
BRONCOS 34-23
Ok, fine. I admit. I had zero faith in the Broncos. I’m convinced now that they are pretty darn good. I hate that they are but 6-0 in the NFL is no joke. As for the Chargers, I do believe that they are and have been one of the more over rated teams in the NFL over the past 6 years. Not sure why, they really haven’t proven anything in any game that actually matters.
Last week: 5-9
Season to Date ATS: 44-46
This week Best Bets: 1-2
Season to Date Best Bets: 6-12
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