If the pattern continues of alternating good and bad weeks than I should have a good week here… but don’t go mortgaging your home to follow these picks. Not that any of you would ever be dumb enough to do that for a 44-46 handicapper. Yikes!
Asterisk (*) denotes Best Bets.
San Diego (2-3) @ Kansas City (1-5) +4.5
Arrowhead is always a tough place to play and the Chiefs are coming off a big win in Washington while the Chargers collapsed at home in a must win to division rival Denver. The Chargers should blow them out but they won’t because they have underachieved for years now.
Chargers 27-23
Minnesota (6-0) @ Pittsburgh (4-2) -4.5
Two certain playoff bound teams bang heads in one of the games of the week. Brett Favre has accounted for at least 2 wins by himself but the Vikings are not quite as good as advertised. Pittsburgh has a healthy Troy Polomalu now making that defense one of the best in the league.
Steelers 30-20
*Green Bay (3-2) @ Cleveland (1-5) +6.5
The Browns are playing better with Derek Anderson at quarterback but after pitching a 26-0 shutout at home to Detroit last week it looks like the Packers may have found themselves a little bit. Green Bay should be at least a touchdown better than the Cleveland.
Packers 27-16
New England (4-2) @ Tamps Bay (0-6) +14.5
The Patriot embarrassed the Titans last week with mind-boggling number in a little more than a half from Tom Brady in route to a 59-0 thumping. They are not likely to take the foot off the gas against the lowly Bucs.
Patriots 34-13
San Francisco (3-2) @ Houston (3-3) -3.5
The 49ers went into last weeks bye after getting hammered by Atlanta and should be ready to bounce back but the Texans have been steadily improving and are a very good offense team and should be able to find success through the air.
Texans 24-20
*Indianapolis (5-0) @ St. Louis (0-6) +12.5
The Colts are possessed right now and should have little trouble scoring against the pathetic Rams even though they are coming off their best game of the year losing a heart breaker to the Jags in OT. Peyton Manning is just too much for them to handle.
Colts 35-17
Buffalo (2-4) @ Carolina (2-3) -3.5
Carolina finally got their running game going last week with DeAngelo Williams gaining over 150 yards and Jonathan Stewart adding 117 of his own. The problem is Jake Delhomme continues to play poorly and Buffalo play great last week in upsetting the Jets on the Road.
Panthers 26-20
NY Jets (3-3) @ Oakland (2-4) +6.5
Two weeks ago and this game would have looked like a Jets blowout victory but after losing to Miami and at home to Buffalo they are reeling and Mark Sanchez is finally playing like a rookie. The Raiders as dysfunctional as they are have been playing sound defense and are coming off a huge upset over the Eagles.
Jets 20-17
*Chicago (3-2) @ Cincinnati (4-2) -1.5
These two teams are a roller coaster of good and bad play. Just when you think the Bengals are for real they start playing like the Bengals we’re used to seeing. The Bears are also struggling with consistency and are in a must win to keep the division title within reach.
Bears 30-28
New Orleans (5-0) @ Miami (2-3) +6.5
The Saints are an offensive juggernaut and shredded the #1 ranked defense of the Giants last week. The Dolphins are ball control offense that is very dangerous with their Wildcat formation. Points shouldn’t be a problem. Miami always seems to keeps games close even with their shaky pass defense so I’m the homer calling for the upset.
Dolphins 28-24
Atlanta (4-1) @ Dallas (3-2) -3.5
We keep waiting for Tony Romo and this talented Cowboys roster to explode but they just haven’t. Romo is wildly inconsistent and they keep battling injuries. Until they prove it I can’t jump on the band wagon. The Falcons are clicking and look to be a force in the playoffs.
Falcons 27-24
Arizona (3-2) @ NY Giants (5-1) -6.5
The Giants return home after getting worked in New Orleans and host the Cardinals coming off their bye week. I think the Cards can find some success through the air to keep this game within reach at all times despite the Giants firepower. Giants win a close one.
Giants 27-21
Monday, October 26
Philadelphia (3-2) @ Washington (2-4) +6.5
Philadelphia is coming off an embarrassing 13-9 loss in Oakland will look to take it out on the imploding Redskins on national television. I can’t imagine the Eagles playing as poorly as they did last week and I can’t imagine the Redskins all of the sudden playing well.
Eagles 31-20
Last week: 5-9
Season to Date ATS: 44-46
Last week Best Bets: 1-2
Season to Date Best Bets: 6-12
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