Well, so much for my alternating weeks theory! Let’s see where I went wrong…
If the pattern continues of alternating good and bad weeks than I should have a good week here… but don’t go mortgaging your home to follow these picks. Not that any of you would ever be dumb enough to do that for a 44-46 handicapper. Yikes!
Asterisk (*) denotes Best Bets.
San Diego (2-3) @ Kansas City (1-5) +4.5
Arrowhead is always a tough place to play and the Chiefs are coming off a big win in Washington while the Chargers collapsed at home in a must win to division rival Denver. The Chargers should blow them out but they won’t because they have underachieved for years now.
Chargers 27-23
CHARGERS 37-7
Welp. Chargers blew them out.
Minnesota (6-0) @ Pittsburgh (4-2) -4.5
Two certain playoff bound teams bang heads in one of the games of the week. Brett Favre has accounted for at least 2 wins by himself but the Vikings are not quite as good as advertised. Pittsburgh has a healthy Troy Polomalu now making that defense one of the best in the league.
Steelers 30-20
STEELERS 27-17
I actually wasn’t far off on this one although it took a last second pick 6 for me to cover. Both teams showed why they are and will continue to be title contenders.
*Green Bay (3-2) @ Cleveland (1-5) +6.5
The Browns are playing better with Derek Anderson at quarterback but after pitching a 26-0 shutout at home to Detroit last week it looks like the Packers may have found themselves a little bit. Green Bay should be at least a touchdown better than the Cleveland.
Packers 27-16
PACKERS 31-3
Blowout city. The Brown offense is horrible and the Packers have allowed only a field goal the past two weeks which is impressive even if it is against the armpit of the league. Oh yeah, and one of my Best Bets. Yes!
New England (4-2) @ Tamps Bay (0-6) +14.5
The Patriot embarrassed the Titans last week with mind-boggling number in a little more than a half from Tom Brady in route to a 59-0 thumping. They are not likely to take the foot off the gas against the lowly Bucs.
Patriots 34-13
PATRIOTS 35-7
Another great call by me, not like I went out on a limb or anything. The Patriots are downright scary again and as each week passes they are looking more and more like the Pats of old. Yikes!
San Francisco (3-2) @ Houston (3-3) -3.5
The 49ers went into last weeks bye after getting hammered by Atlanta and should be ready to bounce back but the Texans have been steadily improving and are a very good offense team and should be able to find success through the air.
Texans 24-20
TEXANS 24-21
Again I almost nailed this one exactly yet I still lose the game. Rats! It hurts even more after watching the Texans mount a 21-0 halftime lead.
*Indianapolis (5-0) @ St. Louis (0-6) +12.5
The Colts are possessed right now and should have little trouble scoring against the pathetic Rams even though they are coming off their best game of the year losing a heart breaker to the Jags in OT. Peyton Manning is just too much for them to handle.
Colts 35-17
COLTS 42-6
Best Bet #2! 2-0 Baby! Whoo hoo! Don’t worry… wait until we get to Best Bet #3. Yeah, anyway… Peyton doing what Peyton does. It could have been much uglier but the classy Colts made no serious attempts at scoring in the second half.
Buffalo (2-4) @ Carolina (2-3) -3.5
Carolina finally got their running game going last week with DeAngelo Williams gaining over 150 yards and Jonathan Stewart adding 117 of his own. The problem is Jake Delhomme continues to play poorly and Buffalo play great last week in upsetting the Jets on the Road.
Panthers 26-20
BILLS 20-9
Are the Bills better than we though or are the Panthers really this bad? Maybe a little bit of both but either way I was waay off on this one.
NY Jets (3-3) @ Oakland (2-4) +6.5
Two weeks ago and this game would have looked like a Jets blowout victory but after losing to Miami and at home to Buffalo they are reeling and Mark Sanchez is finally playing like a rookie. The Raiders as dysfunctional as they are have been playing sound defense and are coming off a huge upset over the Eagles.
Jets 20-17
JETS 38-0
Should have stuck with my “two weeks ago” thoughts. Raiders are such a joke and the Jets are a little Jeckle and Hyde which make them so difficult to predict.
*Chicago (3-2) @ Cincinnati (4-2) -1.5
These two teams are a roller coaster of good and bad play. Just when you think the Bengals are for real they start playing like the Bengals we’re used to seeing. The Bears are also struggling with consistency and are in a must win to keep the division title within reach.
Bears 30-28
BENGALS 45-10
Ande here we are… Best Bet #3. Whoops. I’ll still take 2-1 but I couldn’t have been further off on this one. I’m not nearly as embarassed as the Bears are or should be after allowing the Bengals to score on their first 7 possessions! And the roller coaster ride for these two teams continues.
New Orleans (5-0) @ Miami (2-3) +6.5
The Saints are an offensive juggernaut and shredded the #1 ranked defense of the Giants last week. The Dolphins are ball control offense that is very dangerous with their Wildcat formation. Points shouldn’t be a problem. Miami always seems to keeps games close even with their shaky pass defense so I’m the homer calling for the upset.
Dolphins 28-24
SAINTS 46-34
I’m too sick to my stomach to even comment on this one. When Miami executed their game plan they were up 24-3, when the Saints executed theirs they won 46-34. And oh by the way, not only do i lose the money line on this one but I also lost the cover due to a late pick 6 to add insult to injury.
Atlanta (4-1) @ Dallas (3-2) -3.5
We keep waiting for Tony Romo and this talented Cowboys roster to explode but they just haven’t. Romo is wildly inconsistent and they keep battling injuries. Until they prove it I can’t jump on the band wagon. The Falcons are clicking and look to be a force in the playoffs.
Falcons 27-24
COWBOYS 37-21
I can’t figure out these two teams to save my life. One week they look amazing, the next they worked. This week was the Cowboys turn to dominate while the Falcons decided to take the week off.
Arizona (3-2) @ NY Giants (5-1) -6.5
The Giants return home after getting worked in New Orleans and host the Cardinals coming off their bye week. I think the Cards can find some success through the air to keep this game within reach at all times despite the Giants firepower. Giants win a close one.
Giants 27-21
CARDINALS 24-17
I thought the Cardinals had a great chance to win this game but I didn’t have the guts to call it, though I still got the cover. The Cards defense really looks great ranking #1 in the NFL against the run while the Giants offense has sputtered.
Monday, October 26
Philadelphia (3-2) @ Washington (2-4) +6.5
Philadelphia is coming off an embarrassing 13-9 loss in Oakland will look to take it out on the imploding Redskins on national television. I can’t imagine the Eagles playing as poorly as they did last week and I can’t imagine the Redskins all of the sudden playing well.
Eagles 31-20
This week: 5-7
Season to Date ATS: 49-53
This week Best Bets: 2-1
Season to Date Best Bets: 8-13
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